Payouts and Settlement

Speculation provides a transparent and consistent payout structure across all market types. Each contract has a clearly defined outcome, and settlement is handled automatically through the platform.

Payout Structure

Every winning contract on Speculation pays out $1 per contract representing 100% Users can hold multiple contracts within the same market, and total returns are calculated as:

Payout = Number of Winning Contracts × $1

Losing contracts expire worthless and carry no residual value.

Threshold Markets

In Threshold Markets, each target level represents an independent contract, for example, “Will Bitcoin close Up or Down by Oct 26 00:00 UTC?”

As soon as the underlying asset reaches or surpasses the target price, the corresponding contract is considered resolved in favour of “Yes.” At that point, holders of the winning “Yes” positions can immediately claim their payout from their portfolio dashboard.

Settlement for all price-based thresholds is determined using Binance’s 3-minute closing candle as the official price reference. This ensures consistent and verifiable resolution data across all markets.

Directional (Up/Down) Markets

In Directional Markets, outcomes are based on whether the asset’s price moves up or down within a defined timeframe.

These contracts settle at expiry, meaning results are finalised once the specified period ends, for example, after one hour, one day, one month, or one year. At expiry, the final outcome is determined using the Binance 3-minute closing candle corresponding to the market’s expiration time.

If the final price aligns with the predicted direction, the “Yes” side receives the $1 payout per contract, while the “No” side expires worthless.

Claiming Payouts

All winnings are credited directly to the user’s Speculation portfolio, where they can view settled contracts, claim payouts, or trade their earnings in new markets.